Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.363101 0.470654 0.587520 0.722200 0.871554 1.030734 1.211910
2025-09-28 0.230311 0.375864 0.550691 0.767690 1.022806 1.307501 1.644053
2025-10-05 0.170842 0.334095 0.544808 0.818859 1.151988 1.532935 1.991919
2025-10-12 0.124828 0.296696 0.535001 0.858198 1.262220 1.733350 2.309386
2025-10-19 0.099615 0.281075 0.547780 0.920930 1.396676 1.958844 2.652895
2025-10-26 0.076251 0.261336 0.550538 0.967547 1.508999 2.156488 2.962758
2025-11-02 0.050333 0.227902 0.528295 0.977173 1.572133 2.292988 3.198931
2025-11-09 0.022025 0.173257 0.465382 0.925286 1.552373 2.325467 3.308751
2025-11-16 0.005314 0.124387 0.401476 0.864958 1.516474 2.334201 3.386813
2025-11-23 0.000463 0.097109 0.368386 0.845187 1.531118 2.403388 3.535886
2025-11-30 NaN 0.083634 0.358353 0.858482 1.589248 2.526525 3.750157
2025-12-07 NaN 0.065910 0.335335 0.849234 1.614958 2.607460 3.911880
2025-12-14 NaN 0.046931 0.304923 0.827861 1.625873 2.673184 4.060392
2025-12-21 NaN 0.044401 0.314441 0.872838 1.731339 2.862336 4.363917
2025-12-28 NaN 0.044406 0.330466 0.928633 1.852048 3.071090 4.691628
2026-01-04 NaN 0.041717 0.338322 0.970314 1.952574 3.253723 4.987023
2026-01-11 NaN 0.043988 0.360734 1.037250 2.089601 3.484188 5.342440
2026-01-18 NaN 0.042998 0.373158 1.086813 2.201626 3.682097 5.657318
2026-01-25 NaN 0.035393 0.363463 1.097052 2.256398 3.804869 5.878010
2026-02-01 NaN 0.019884 0.318770 1.041866 2.213904 3.798512 5.935558
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008208 0.272097 0.977593 2.154741 3.767842 5.960601
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003673 0.249728 0.956501 2.158340 3.819396 6.088518
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002215 0.245487 0.970686 2.215316 3.942562 6.307643